France EUR

France 3-Month BTF Auction

Impact:
None

Latest Release:

Actual:
2.076%
Forecast:
Previous/Revision:
2.121%
Period: Apr 2025

Next Release:

Forecast:
Period: May 2025
What Does It Measure?
The France 3-Month BTF Auction measures the yield on newly issued French government Treasury bills with a three-month maturity. It primarily assesses short-term interest rates and demand for French sovereign debt, acting as a key indicator of investor confidence in the government's fiscal health. As a national indicator, it is crucial for monitoring short-term borrowing costs in France.
Frequency
The France 3-Month BTF Auction is conducted weekly, typically releasing its results on the same day of the auction.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders closely watch the 3-Month BTF Auction as it provides insights into the demand for short-term French government securities, influencing the euro and the government's funding costs. Higher-than-expected yields may indicate risk aversion and can be bearish for French equities and currency, while lower yields suggest strong demand, boosting market confidence.
What Is It Derived From?
The results of the auction are derived from the bids submitted by various financial institutions and investors, with the final yield calculated based on the auction's competitive bidding process. Data collection involves analyzing bid-to-cover ratios and yield trends to indicate the level of demand and investor sentiment regarding the safety of short-term French government debt.
Description
The France 3-Month BTF Auction involves the sale of short-term government securities, specifically Treasury bills, which are repaid at maturity within three months. The process assesses how interest rates adjust to new economic data and market conditions. Preliminary results are often eagerly anticipated, providing a more immediate gauge of investor sentiment on French fiscal policy and monetary conditions. While the results are definitive for that auction, subsequent market reactions may be adjusted based on new developments. The auction focuses on real-time market conditions, emphasizing the importance of yield trends over short periods rather than YoY or QoQ metrics, as short-term notes are more sensitive to immediate economic conditions.
Additional Notes
The France 3-Month BTF Auction serves as a leading economic indicator, highlighting immediate fiscal and market trends. It can correlate with other short-term debt instruments across Europe, offering comparative insights into Eurozone sovereign debt markets.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bearish for French Stocks. Lower than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for French Stocks.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
2.076%
2.121%
2.121%
2.192%
2.192%
2.212%
2.212%
2.244%
2.244%
2.3%
2.3%
2.348%
2.348%
2.395%
2.395%
2.396%
2.396%
2.423%
2.423%
2.452%
2.452%
2.45%
2.45%
2.496%
2.496%
2.608%
2.608%
2.633%
2.633%
2.691%
2.691%
2.704%
2.704%
2.77%
2.77%
2.817%
2.817%
2.866%
2.866%
2.824%
2.824%
2.937%
2.937%
2.989%
2.989%
3.085%
3.085%
3.055%
3.055%
3.071%
3.071%
3.138%
3.138%
3.167%
3.167%
3.25%
3.25%
3.367%
3.367%
3.397%
3.397%
3.396%
3.396%
3.462%
3.462%
3.372%
3.372%
3.502%
3.502%
3.553%
3.553%
3.485%
3.485%
3.61%
3.61%
3.576%
3.576%
3.602%
3.602%
3.674%
3.674%
3.687%
3.687%
3.699%
3.699%
3.703%
3.703%
3.681%
3.681%
3.686%
3.686%
3.697%
3.697%
3.746%
3.746%
3.781%
3.781%
3.803%
3.803%
3.8%
3.8%
3.825%
3.825%
3.814%
3.814%
3.827%
3.827%
3.815%
3.815%
3.844%
3.844%
3.796%
3.796%
3.813%
3.813%
3.86%
3.86%
3.845%
3.845%
3.838%
3.838%
3.825%
3.825%
3.825%
3.825%
3.822%
3.822%
3.837%
3.837%
3.829%
3.829%
3.844%
3.844%
3.757%
3.757%
3.729%
3.729%
3.778%
3.778%
3.766%
3.766%
3.785%
3.785%
3.791%
3.791%
3.796%
3.796%
3.796%
3.796%
3.745%
3.745%
3.788%
3.788%
3.788%
3.788%
3.761%
3.761%
3.773%
3.773%
3.822%
3.822%
3.83%
3.83%
3.696%
3.696%
3.657%
3.657%
3.664%
3.664%
3.684%
3.684%
3.657%
3.657%
3.617%
3.617%
3.588%
3.588%
3.613%
3.613%
3.584%
3.584%
3.556%
3.556%
3.439%
3.439%
3.431%
3.431%
3.387%
3.387%
3.323%
3.323%
3.267%
3.267%
3.202%
3.202%
3.115%
3.115%
3.121%
3.121%
3.079%
3.079%
3.089%
3.089%
3.057%
3.057%
3.056%
3.056%
2.901%
2.901%
2.881%
2.881%
2.804%
2.804%
2.613%
2.613%
2.665%
2.665%
2.825%
2.825%
2.69%
2.69%
2.693%
2.693%
2.556%
2.556%
2.492%
2.492%
2.33%
2.33%
2.285%
2.285%
2.164%
2.164%
2.164%
2.164%
2.096%
2.096%
1.714%
1.714%
1.693%
1.693%
1.445%
1.445%
1.5%
1.5%
1.341%
1.341%
1.431%
1.431%
1.301%
1.301%
1.33%
1.33%
1%
1%
0.895%
0.895%
0.781%
0.781%
0.646%
0.646%
0.681%
0.681%
0.686%
0.686%
0.648%
0.648%
0.039%
0.039%
-0.027%
-0.027%
0.058%
0.058%
0.019%
0.019%
0.053%
0.053%
0.001%
0.001%
0.002%
0.002%
-0.272%
-0.272%
-0.286%
-0.286%
-0.378%
-0.378%
-0.392%
-0.392%
-0.465%
-0.465%
-0.457%
-0.457%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.603%
-0.603%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.669%
-0.669%
-0.653%
-0.653%
-0.664%
-0.664%
-0.649%
-0.649%
-0.65%
-0.65%
-0.661%
-0.661%
-0.722%
-0.722%
-0.755%
-0.755%
-0.745%
-0.745%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.705%
-0.705%
-0.654%
-0.654%
-0.671%
-0.671%
-0.672%
-0.672%
-0.65%
-0.65%
-0.633%
-0.633%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.764%
-0.764%
-0.893%
-0.893%
-0.949%
-0.949%
-0.959%
-0.959%
-0.863%
-0.863%
-0.782%
-0.782%
-0.772%
-0.772%
-0.736%
-0.736%
-0.732%
-0.732%
-0.74%
-0.74%
-0.756%
-0.756%
-0.739%
-0.739%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.649%
-0.649%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.647%
-0.647%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.656%
-0.656%
-0.643%
-0.643%
-0.633%
-0.633%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.626%
-0.626%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.619%
-0.619%
-0.607%
-0.607%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.606%
-0.606%
-0.617%
-0.617%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.643%
-0.643%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.62%
-0.62%
-0.743%
-0.743%
-0.706%
-0.706%
-0.655%
-0.655%
-0.634%
-0.634%
-0.6%
-0.6%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.676%
-0.676%
-0.673%
-0.673%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.656%
-0.656%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.571%
-0.571%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.523%
-0.523%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.51%
-0.51%
-0.514%
-0.514%
-0.52%
-0.52%
-0.526%
-0.526%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.549%
-0.549%
-0.475%
-0.475%
-0.454%
-0.454%
-0.451%
-0.451%
-0.476%
-0.476%
-0.477%
-0.477%
-0.486%
-0.486%
-0.528%
-0.528%
-0.608%
-0.608%
-0.668%
-0.668%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.596%
-0.609%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.577%
-0.577%
-0.58%
-0.58%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.61%
-0.61%
-0.658%
-0.658%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.6%
-0.6%
-0.594%
-0.594%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.682%
-0.682%
-0.6%
-0.6%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.639%
-0.639%
-0.647%
-0.647%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.614%
-0.614%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.612%
-0.612%
-0.599%
-0.599%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.541%
-0.541%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.556%
-0.556%
-0.564%
-0.564%
-0.559%
-0.559%
-0.549%
-0.549%
-0.546%
-0.546%
-0.543%
-0.543%
-0.544%
-0.544%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.546%
-0.546%
-0.516%
-0.516%
-0.519%
-0.519%
-0.519%
-0.519%
-0.53%
-0.53%
-0.528%
-0.528%
-0.525%
-0.525%
-0.538%
-0.535%
-0.534%
-0.534%
-0.518%
-0.518%
-0.505%
-0.505%
-0.503%
-0.503%
-0.525%
-0.525%
-0.542%
-0.542%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.701%
-0.701%
-0.668%
-0.668%
-0.71%
-0.71%
-0.673%
-0.673%
-0.686%
-0.686%
-0.735%
-0.735%
-0.765%
-0.765%
-0.761%
-0.761%
-0.741%
-0.741%
-0.66%
-0.66%
-0.662%
-0.662%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.556%
-0.556%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.547%
-0.547%
-0.534%
-0.534%
-0.54%
-0.54%
-0.534%
-0.534%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.575%
-0.575%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.603%
-0.603%
-0.594%
-0.594%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.579%
-0.579%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.599%
-0.599%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.582%
-0.582%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.571%
-0.571%
-0.615%
-0.615%
-0.9%
-0.9%
-0.79%
-0.79%
-0.711%
-0.711%
-0.701%
-0.701%
-0.703%
-0.703%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.687%
-0.687%
-0.691%
-0.691%
-0.688%
-0.688%
-0.701%
-0.701%
-0.69%
-0.69%
-0.588%
-0.588%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.619%
-0.619%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.626%
-0.626%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.592%
-0.592%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.618%
-0.618%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.588%
-0.588%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.592%
-0.592%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.549%
-0.549%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.524%
-0.524%
-0.539%
-0.539%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.818%
-0.818%
-0.733%
-0.733%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.671%
-0.671%
-0.659%
-0.659%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.552%
-0.552%
-0.553%
-0.553%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.697%
-0.697%
-0.741%
-0.741%
-0.751%
-0.751%
-0.736%
-0.736%
-0.673%
-0.673%
-0.693%
-0.693%
-0.734%
-0.734%
-0.725%
-0.725%
-0.687%
-0.687%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.696%
-0.696%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.659%
-0.659%
-0.58%
-0.58%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.58%
-0.58%
-0.578%
-0.578%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.582%
-0.582%
-0.58%
-0.58%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.543%
-0.543%
-0.506%
-0.506%
-0.497%
-0.497%
-0.493%
-0.493%
-0.496%
-0.496%
-0.51%
-0.51%
-0.525%
-0.525%
-0.487%
-0.487%
-0.477%
-0.478%
-0.501%
-0.501%
-0.438%
-0.438%
-0.432%
-0.432%
-0.425%
-0.425%
-0.431%
-0.431%
-0.425%
-0.425%
-0.433%
-0.433%
-0.423%
-0.423%
-0.387%
-0.387%
-0.371%
-0.371%
-0.359%
-0.359%
-0.465%
-0.365%
-0.359%
-0.359%
-0.376%
-0.376%
-0.399%
-0.399%
-0.437%
-0.437%
-0.328%
-0.328%
-0.291%
-0.291%
-0.347%
-0.347%
-0.322%
-0.322%
-0.288%
-0.288%
-0.254%
-0.254%
-0.261%
-0.261%
-0.254%
-0.254%
-0.208%
-0.208%
-0.204%
-0.204%
-0.206%
-0.206%
-0.202%
-0.202%
-0.196%
-0.196%
-0.198%
-0.198%
-0.205%
-0.205%
-0.207%
-0.207%
-0.218%
-0.218%
-0.208%
-0.208%
-0.203%
-0.203%
-0.203%
-0.203%
-0.198%
-0.198%
-0.211%
-0.211%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.195%
-0.195%
-0.193%
-0.193%
-0.183%
-0.183%
-0.185%
-0.185%
-0.192%
-0.192%
-0.197%
-0.197%
-0.193%
-0.193%
-0.181%
-0.181%
-0.18%
-0.18%
-0.186%